Leadership movements?

Web polls are by and large useless. However, if you watch them over time they can tell you things about mood changes.

So far my Leadership Poll poll has generated 305 votes.

First Round

CHRIS HUHNE  133  (43.6%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC _______ :
MENZIES CAMPBELL  105  (34.4%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA _______________ :
SIMON HUGHES  67  (22.0%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ____________________________ :

Simon is eliminated.

The result of Simon votes being reallocated gives:

CHRIS HUHNE  171  (57.0%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC : CCCCCC
MENZIES CAMPBELL  129  (43.0%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA ________ :
None of these  5   
DD _______________________________________________

Some 77.8% of Huhne’s votes are first preference votes.

Since I started this poll, the first round started off with very little happening for Simon. His share was in the low teens. After his revalation his share has strengthened, Huhne’s has fallen back slightly and Ming’s has stayed about the same.

The second round continues to result in a Huhne win after Simon is eliminated, but his margin of victory is smaller.

What that means is speculation, but it is interesting none the less.

STV Leadership Poll

I have set up a Leadership Poll for the LibDem Leadership contest. This poll uses the Single Transferable Vote system. This will run during the election period & might give people a better idea of how the election is progressing.

The LibDems use STV in their elections. Hopefully this poll will give a better feel for what is happening on the ground as the election develops.

Regards,

Dave.

LibDem Leadership Election Poll

I have decided to set up an online LibDem Leadership Election poll using the single transferable vote system. This will run during the election period & might give people a better idea of how the election is progressing. 

The LibDems use the single transferable vote system, where members list preferences and votes from the least popular candidate are reassigned to others. This lasts until a winner – with more than 50% of votes – emerges.